
Across the United States, a growing sense of unease is spreading as citizens contemplate the future of Social Security. The program, a cornerstone of American retirement security for generations, faces significant financial challenges, prompting concerns about the long-term viability of benefits.
At the heart of the matter are the program's two primary trust funds, which are projected to be depleted in the coming years. This looming shortfall has sparked widespread anxiety among current and future beneficiaries, who fear potential cuts or delays in their promised benefits.
To understand the present anxieties, it's helpful to reflect on the program's origins. Social Security was established in 1935, during the Great Depression, as part of President Franklin D. Roosevelt's New Deal. The Social Security Act created a system of social insurance designed to protect older Americans from poverty in their retirement years.
Over the decades, Social Security has evolved into a comprehensive program that provides benefits to over 70 million Americans annually. This includes retirees, disabled workers, spouses and children of beneficiaries, and surviving family members of deceased workers. The program is expansive, with annual payouts constituting approximately one-fifth to one-fourth of the entire federal budget.
The financial challenges facing Social Security stem from a confluence of demographic and economic trends. As the Baby Boomer generation retires, the number of beneficiaries has increased significantly. Simultaneously, slower economic growth and changing labor market dynamics have led to a decline in the number of workers contributing to the system.
The imbalance between the number of beneficiaries and contributing workers is creating a strain on the system's resources, leading to concerns about its long-term financial stability. Projections from Social Security's trustees indicate that the program's trust funds are on a trajectory to be exhausted within the next decade.
Specifically, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) trust fund, which is responsible for paying benefits to retirees and survivors, is projected to become insolvent by 2033. The Disability Insurance (DI) trust fund faces similar challenges. Once the trust funds are depleted, the program will only be able to pay a portion of the scheduled benefits, potentially leading to significant cuts.

Social Security's revenue primarily comes from three sources: Social Security payroll taxes, the OASI trust fund, and the DI trust fund. Payroll taxes are the most significant source, with 6.2% of a worker's earnings going towards the tax, and their employer contributing an additional 6.2%, for a combined total of 12.4%.
It's important to emphasize that Social Security cannot technically go "bankrupt" because payroll taxes will continue to be collected from current workers. However, the depletion of the trust funds means that the program will not be able to meet its full obligations under current law.
The OASI trust fund is projected to be depleted by 2033. Once this happens, incoming payroll taxes will only be sufficient to cover approximately 77% of the scheduled benefits. This implies a potential 23% reduction in benefits for retirees and survivors.
If the two trust funds were combined, projections suggest they would be exhausted by 2034, with the program only able to pay about 81% of scheduled benefits. Some analyses paint an even more pessimistic picture, projecting earlier insolvency dates and greater benefit reductions.
Given the uncertainty surrounding Social Security's future, it's prudent for individuals to explore strategies for supplementing their retirement income. Diversifying retirement savings and investments can provide a cushion against potential benefit cuts.
One popular option is contributing to a 401(k) retirement account, which is often offered through employers. These accounts allow pre-tax contributions to grow tax-deferred, and many employers offer matching contributions, which can significantly boost savings.
Another avenue for retirement savings is an Individual Retirement Account (IRA). Unlike a 401(k), an IRA is not tied to an employer, offering greater flexibility in investment choices. Traditional IRAs offer tax-deductible contributions, and the funds grow tax-free until withdrawal.

According to Erin Floyd, Social Security department manager at Farah & Farah, changes are needed to address the impending cuts. Floyd notes that the current Social Security system is already overburdened and riddled with delays, which disproportionately affects the most vulnerable.
Floyd emphasizes that delays in the Social Security process have dire consequences for those who rely on the program for their basic needs. The projected benefit cuts would exacerbate these issues, further straining the system and impacting beneficiaries.
One proposed solution to avert Social Security insolvency is to increase payroll taxes. According to estimates from the program's trustees, an immediate increase of 3.65% would be necessary, raising the total payroll tax from 12.4% to 16.05%.
However, raising payroll taxes would come at a cost to workers. An analysis by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates that the tax increase would deplete a median worker's lifetime earnings by over $110,000 over 45 years of work.
Aaron Cirksena, a Social Security and retirement planning expert, acknowledges that while raising payroll taxes would ensure Social Security's solvency, it would also reduce workers' take-home pay. This would disproportionately affect lower and middle-income Americans.
Cirksena explains that individuals earning $50,000 per year would feel the impact of the tax increase more acutely than those earning $500,000. The trade-off, he says, is "smaller checks today in exchange for more certainty later that benefits are still there when you need them."
As Social Security faces its solvency challenges, Americans are anxiously awaiting potential legislative action. The future of their retirement security hinges on finding a solution that ensures the long-term sustainability of the program. In the meantime, explore ways to supplement your Social Security.
In a related development, Social Security officials have clarified changes to its paper checks policy, providing further information to beneficiaries regarding payment methods.